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Statistics in Environmental Sciences
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Terra Spacecraft with the multi-angle cameras of the MISR
instrument featured
(Image courtesy of S. Suzuki and E. De Jong, Solar System
Visualization Project, NASA, JPL/Caltech. JPL Image # P-49081)
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Introduction
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The study of the environment has been an endeavor of humankind since
its very beginning. Organisms are born, reproduce, and die but, in the
process, produce potentially harmful by-products that could threaten
the existence of fellow organisms. A good example is the homo
sapiens whose ability to achieve wondrous technological feats is
counterbalanced by the technology resulting in greenhouse-gas
emissions, ozone depletion, toxic-waste disposal, and harmful food
additives, to name just a few examples of environmental concern.
Variability is inherent in the earth's environment at every scale.
The traditional views of the scientific method use experimental design
to control variability in the presence of responses of interest and
explanatory variables, where the three principles of blocking,
replication, and randomization are applied. Although this research
paradigm applies to some narrowly defined problems in the environmental
sciences, the processes of major interest typically exhibit strong
spatial, temporal, and exogenous variability. Here statistical
challenges abound.
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Environmental Statistics
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Environmental statistics is concerned with the study of variability in
the environmental sciences. Although every datum within an
environmental study could be viewed as unique and incomparable to any other datum,
from a statistical-modeling point of view, environmental processes
have structure and are characterizable through interpretable
parameters.
Often environmental processes exhibit important spatial-temporal
variability that needs to be characterized in conjunction with
purported dependencies on explanatory variables. That is, the "why"
question might not be answered sensibly without first answering the
"where" and "when" questions. Space and time provide natural ways to
stratify (often hierarchically) large problems into more manageable ones.
Hierarchical (Bayesian) statistical modeling offers a very
powerful way of representing complex global phenomena through simple
local structure. Fitting these models often requires powerful computers.
Methods of sample re-use (such as sub-sampling), and Markov chain
Monte Carlo (MCMC) for implementing Bayesian methodology, are
computationally intensive and demand real innovation in the
environmental context. The relevance of environmental statistics to
the environmental sciences is in direct proportion to the development
of computer-intensive statistical methods on fast workstations and
supercomputers. One of the challenges that lies ahead is to develop
and adapt statistical methodology for the massive datasets that
studies of the environment will engender. The most obvious source of
massive environmental data
will be from remote-sensing platforms that continue their march toward
pinpoint spatial accuracy at high temporal frequency.
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Course in Environmental Statistics: Stat 662
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A 3-credit MS-level course is
offered in Environmental Statistics in the Department of Statistics.
The course is taught every other Spring quarter in even years
(next taught in Spring quarter 2008).
The lectures present topics that include standard statistics used in
environmental settings, bioassay, censoring, spatial statistics, and
hierarchical models.
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Discussions In Spatial and Environmental Statistics (DISES)
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The SSES Program organizes DISES on an occasional basis. Click here for the most recent schedule.
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