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THE SSES PROGRAM
Statistics in Environmental Sciences





Terra Spacecraft with the multi-angle cameras of the MISR instrument featured
(Image courtesy of S. Suzuki and E. De Jong, Solar System Visualization Project, NASA, JPL/Caltech. JPL Image # P-49081)
Introduction
The study of the environment has been an endeavor of humankind since its very beginning. Organisms are born, reproduce, and die but, in the process, produce potentially harmful by-products that could threaten the existence of fellow organisms. A good example is the homo sapiens whose ability to achieve wondrous technological feats is counterbalanced by the technology resulting in greenhouse-gas emissions, ozone depletion, toxic-waste disposal, and harmful food additives, to name just a few examples of environmental concern.

Variability is inherent in the earth's environment at every scale. The traditional views of the scientific method use experimental design to control variability in the presence of responses of interest and explanatory variables, where the three principles of blocking, replication, and randomization are applied. Although this research paradigm applies to some narrowly defined problems in the environmental sciences, the processes of major interest typically exhibit strong spatial, temporal, and exogenous variability. Here statistical challenges abound.

Environmental Statistics
Environmental statistics is concerned with the study of variability in the environmental sciences. Although every datum within an environmental study could be viewed as unique and incomparable to any other datum, from a statistical-modeling point of view, environmental processes have structure and are characterizable through interpretable parameters.

Often environmental processes exhibit important spatial-temporal variability that needs to be characterized in conjunction with purported dependencies on explanatory variables. That is, the "why" question might not be answered sensibly without first answering the "where" and "when" questions. Space and time provide natural ways to stratify (often hierarchically) large problems into more manageable ones.

Hierarchical (Bayesian) statistical modeling offers a very powerful way of representing complex global phenomena through simple local structure. Fitting these models often requires powerful computers. Methods of sample re-use (such as sub-sampling), and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for implementing Bayesian methodology, are computationally intensive and demand real innovation in the environmental context. The relevance of environmental statistics to the environmental sciences is in direct proportion to the development of computer-intensive statistical methods on fast workstations and supercomputers. One of the challenges that lies ahead is to develop and adapt statistical methodology for the massive datasets that studies of the environment will engender. The most obvious source of massive environmental data will be from remote-sensing platforms that continue their march toward pinpoint spatial accuracy at high temporal frequency.

Course in Environmental Statistics: Stat 662
A 3-credit MS-level course is offered in Environmental Statistics in the Department of Statistics. The course is taught every other Spring quarter in even years (next taught in Spring quarter 2008). The lectures present topics that include standard statistics used in environmental settings, bioassay, censoring, spatial statistics, and hierarchical models.

Discussions In Spatial and Environmental Statistics (DISES)
The SSES Program organizes DISES on an occasional basis. Click here for the most recent schedule.